Brasileiro | Gameweek 19

Jul 24, 2022 at 3pm UK

Estádio da Ressacada

Avai
1 - 2
Flamengo

Chaves (48')
Silva (30')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedro (55', 84')
Bruno (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Avai and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 21 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Bragantino	18	8	27
8	Flamengo	18	7	27
9	Sao Paulo	19	4	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Avai had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Avai win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Avai	Draw	Flamengo
27.07% ( -0.3)	25.67% ( -0.07)	47.27% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 51.59% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.11% (

0.11)

51.89% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.36% (

0.1)

73.64% (

-0.1)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.11% (

-0.17)

33.89% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43% (

-0.19)

70.57% (

0.19)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.05% (

0.22)

21.95% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.76% (

0.33)

55.24% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Avai 27.07%

Flamengo 47.27%

Draw 25.66%

Avai	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.07%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 47.27%