Brasileiro | Gameweek 21

Aug 7, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
0 - 2
Flamengo

Maia (36'), Galoppo (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lazaro (7'), Barbosa (90+5')
Souza (24'), Diego (50')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Ceara
Wednesday, August 3 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Santos	20	6	27
10	Sao Paulo	20	3	26
11	Goias	20	-3	25

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Corinthians 0-2 Flamengo
Wednesday, August 3 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Athletico Paranaense	20	5	34
5	Flamengo	20	11	33
6	Internacional	20	10	33

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Flamengo
37.87% ( -0.04)	27.69% ( 0)	34.44% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.64% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.84% (

-0.02)

57.16% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.97% (

-0.02)

78.02% (

0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.82% (

-0.03)

29.18% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.87% (

-0.04)

65.12% (

0.04)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68% (

0.01)

31.31% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.33% (

0.01)

67.67% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 37.86%

Flamengo 34.44%

Draw 27.68%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.86%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.44%