Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Arena da Baixada
Sao Paulo

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

Bueno (69' pen.)
Fernandinho (80'), Cittadini (84'), Heleno (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Luizao (42'), Alves (51'), Nikao (68'), Luciano (85')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Flamengo 0-0 Athletico PR
Thursday, July 28 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Sao Paulo

Last Six:
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 America Mineiro
Friday, July 29 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 26.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSao Paulo
47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.65% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)26.35% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.15% (0.115 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.9% (0.134 0.13)56.1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (0.108 0.11)77.17% (-0.108 -0.11)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (0.058000000000007 0.06)23.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94% (0.081000000000003 0.08)58.06% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.24% (0.10299999999999 0.1)36.76% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.45% (0.102 0.1)73.55% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 47%
    Sao Paulo 26.35%
    Draw 26.64%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 26.35%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 11pm
Sao Paulo
4-0
Athletico PR
Calleri (19', 52', 70'), Luciano (74')
Alisson (23')

Henrique (50'), Bueno (57'), Christian (82')
Nov 25, 2021 12.30am
Sao Paulo
0-0
Athletico PR

Reinaldo (14'), Calleri (29'), Pele (90')

Santos (29'), Marcinho (71')
Aug 7, 2021 10pm
Athletico PR
1-2
Sao Paulo
Kayzer (28')
Richard (73'), Heleno (75')
Pablo (14' pen., 33')
Juan (17'), Vinicius (27'), Perri (82'), Galeano (88')
Benitez (82')
Jan 17, 2021 7pm
Athletico PR
1-1
Sao Paulo
Kayzer (39')
Canesin (80'), Eduardo (84')
Tche (61')
Arboleda (46')
Aug 26, 2020 11pm
Sao Paulo
1-0
Athletico PR
Luciano (65')
Vinicius (90+2'), Reinaldo (90+4')

Pedrinho (56')