Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Aug 12, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)

Estudiantes
0 - 1
Athletico PR

(Athletico Paranaense win 1-0 on aggregate)

Diaz (39'), Andujar (67'), Zuqui (68'), Godoy (73'), Castro (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Roque (90+6')
Henrique (29'), Pablo (55'), Canobbio (85'), Santana (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Estudiantes and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

Last Six:

Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 Estudiantes
Sunday, August 7 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Racing Club	14	15	30
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
48.73% ( -0.02)	26.23% ( -0.02)	25.04% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.25% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.58% (

0.09)

55.42% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.38% (

0.08)

76.62% (

-0.08)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22% (

0.03)

22.78% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.52% (

0.05)

56.48% (

-0.05)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.48% (

0.08)

37.52% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.7% (

0.08)

74.3% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 48.73%

Athletico Paranaense 25.04%

Draw 26.22%

Estudiantes	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 48.73%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 25.04%