Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.