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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 25, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Estudiantes

Boca Juniors
3 - 1
Estudiantes

Fernandez (11'), Rojo (58'), Villa (68')
Fabra (3'), Fernandez (20'), Zambrano (45+5'), Payero (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Morel (76')
Morel (28'), Castro (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, July 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-1 Barracas Central
Wednesday, July 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-1 Estudiantes

 There is very little to separate the teams right now and either of them could end up victorious in this one. However, we just about fancy Boca Junior to see off the threat of Estudiantes, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 16.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawEstudiantes
61.7% (-0.122 -0.12) 22.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 16.09% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 46.97% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (0.232 0.23)50.34% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (0.206 0.21)72.28% (-0.205 -0.2)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (0.040000000000006 0.04)15.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (0.070999999999998 0.07)44.99% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79% (0.306 0.31)44.2% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (0.249 0.25)80.29% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 61.69%
    Estudiantes 16.09%
    Draw 22.2%
Boca JuniorsDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 11.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 61.69%
1-1 @ 10.52%
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.2%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.3% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.33% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 16.09%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes

Boca Juniors
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Estudiantes
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2022 12.30am
Estudiantes
0-1
Boca Juniors

Godoy (8'), Morel (45')
Advincula (54')
Molinas (15'), Fabra (41'), Advincula (43'), Rojo (50'), Fernandez (68'), Orsini (89')
Aug 15, 2021 10pm
Estudiantes
1-0
Boca Juniors
Noguera (76')
Sanchez Mino (42'), Noguera (63'), Del Prete (90+1')

Rojo (65')
Sep 16, 2019 12am
Boca Juniors
1-0
Estudiantes
Reynoso (4')
Marcone (14'), Weigandt (20'), Capaldo (31'), Fabra (69')

Gomez (18'), Kalinski (45')
Aug 20, 2018 7.30pm
Estudiantes
2-0
Boca Juniors
Noguera (58'), Pellegrini (75')
Apaolaza (32'), Luguercio (65'), Pellegrini (94')

Nandez (24'), Goltz (32'), Barrios (49'), Perez (78'), Zarate (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield26139436162048
2TalleresTalleres2613943324948
3HuracanHuracan261210428161246
4River PlateRiver Plate261110538201843
5Racing ClubRacing26134941301143
6Boca Juniors2611873023741
7IndependienteIndependiente2691252517839
8UnionUnion2611692726139
9Atletico TucumanTucuman2610792627-137
10Independiente Rivadavia2610792325-237
11Instituto26106103128336
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Platense269981918136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15BelgranoBelgrano2681173230235
16Deportivo Riestra2681082627-134
17TigreTigre2781092730-334
18Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2671182827132
19GimnasiaGimnasia2688102122-132
20Central CordobaC. Cordoba2687112934-531
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2671092733-631
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
23Rosario CentralRosario2678112529-429
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Sarmiento27511111828-1026
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2667131934-1525
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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