San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
2 - 1
Boca Juniors

Giay (38'), Bareiro (54')
Rosane (45+5'), Fernandez (45+5'), Gattoni (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rojo (28')
Fabra (23'), Varela (53'), Zambrano (62'), Rojo (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

Last Six:
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 San Lorenzo
Sunday, July 3 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Boca Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Corinthians (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 47.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawBoca Juniors
25.83% (0.105 0.11)26.82% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)47.35% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 47.26% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.96% (0.155 0.16)57.04% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08% (0.124 0.12)77.93% (-0.121 -0.12)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.28% (0.17899999999999 0.18)37.72% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.5% (0.173 0.17)74.5% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (0.032000000000011 0.03)24.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59% (0.044000000000004 0.04)58.41% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 25.83%
    Boca Juniors 47.35%
    Draw 26.81%
San LorenzoDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.15% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 2% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.83%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 12.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.35%

How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors

San Lorenzo
16.7%
Draw
29.2%
Boca Juniors
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2021 1am
Boca Juniors
0-2
San Lorenzo

Ezequiel Agustin Fernandez Carballo (78')
Peruzzi (31'), Ortigoza (47' pen.)
Fernandez (9'), Gordillo (33'), Rojas (38'), Peruzzi (90+3')
Sep 21, 2019 9.45pm
San Lorenzo
0-2
Boca Juniors

Menossi (21'), Bareiro (63'), Romero (75')
Lopez (44'), Hurtado (93')
Lopez (17'), Reynoso (75')
Mar 10, 2019 12.30am
Boca Juniors
3-0
San Lorenzo
Zarate (4'), Nandez (65'), Villa (84')
Zarate (26'), Villa (54'), Abila (71'), Buffarini (88'), Marcone (89')

Perez (3'), Poblete (16'), Salazar (48'), Peruzzi (60'), Castellani (88'), Blandi (91'), Rojas (92')
Monetti (70')