Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 51.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.