Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Oct 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo
3 - 0
Athletico PR

Ribeiro (5'), Henrique (10'), Pereira (45+4')
De Arrascaeta (56'), Isla (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Nicolas (51'), Hernandez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 9.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.33%) and 3-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
72.23%18.76%9.01%
Both teams to score 36.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71%52.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01%73.99%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.85%13.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.16%39.84%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.53%57.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.7%89.3%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 72.22%
    Athletico Paranaense 9.01%
    Draw 18.76%
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
2-0 @ 15.55%
1-0 @ 15.33%
3-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 5.83%
4-0 @ 5.33%
4-1 @ 2.95%
5-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 72.22%
1-1 @ 8.49%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 2.39%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 18.76%
0-1 @ 4.19%
1-2 @ 2.35%
0-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 9.01%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Athletico PR

Flamengo
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Athletico Paranaense
14.3%
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