Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 23, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

Flamengo
2 - 0
Barcelona

Henrique (21', 38')
Caio (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Molina (23'), Castillo (87')
Molina (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Barcelona SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBarcelona SC
56.75%22.44%20.81%
Both teams to score 54.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.73%44.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.35%66.66%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61%15.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81%44.2%
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75%35.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99%72.01%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 56.74%
    Barcelona SC 20.81%
    Draw 22.44%
FlamengoDrawBarcelona SC
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.5%
3-1 @ 6.18%
3-0 @ 5.93%
3-2 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2.89%
4-0 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 1.51%
5-1 @ 1.08%
5-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.74%
1-1 @ 10.58%
0-0 @ 5.43%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.44%
0-1 @ 5.66%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.81%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Barcelona

Flamengo
70.8%
Draw
12.5%
Barcelona SC
16.7%
24
rhs 2.0


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