Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 23, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
Flamengo2 - 0Barcelona
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Barcelona SC |
| 56.75% | 22.44% | 20.81% |
| Both teams to score 54.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
