Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Barcelona

Martin Lucero (7')
Guidara (58'), Martin Lucero (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garces (27'), Pinatares (43'), Leon (57'), Oyola (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Velez Sarsfield and Barcelona SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawBarcelona SC
42.86%23.15%33.98%
Both teams to score 64.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.75%37.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.55%59.45%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14%17.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.37%48.62%
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98%22.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66%55.33%
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 42.86%
    Barcelona SC 33.98%
    Draw 23.15%
Velez SarsfieldDrawBarcelona SC
2-1 @ 8.83%
1-0 @ 6.77%
2-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 42.86%
1-1 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 6.68%
0-0 @ 3.93%
3-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-1 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 33.98%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Barcelona

Velez Sarsfield
26.1%
Draw
26.1%
Barcelona SC
47.8%
46
rhs 2.0


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