Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Barcelona1 - 0Boca Juniors
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona SC | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 26.26% | 23.4% | 50.35% |
| Both teams to score 58.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
