Barcelona SC (Ecuador)
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona
1 - 0
Boca Juniors

Garces (62')
Castillo (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Varela (31'), Lopez (51'), Tevez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Barcelona SC and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawBoca Juniors
26.26%23.4%50.35%
Both teams to score 58.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22%42.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82%65.19%
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28%29.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22%65.78%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9%17.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7%47.31%
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 26.26%
    Boca Juniors 50.35%
    Draw 23.4%
Barcelona SCDrawBoca Juniors
2-1 @ 6.61%
1-0 @ 6.17%
2-0 @ 3.74%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.36%
3-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 26.26%
1-1 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-1 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.93%
1-3 @ 5.66%
0-3 @ 4.67%
2-3 @ 3.43%
1-4 @ 2.5%
0-4 @ 2.06%
2-4 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 50.35%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Boca Juniors

Barcelona SC
36.4%
Draw
27.3%
Boca Juniors
36.4%
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