Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jacinto Armando
Santos

Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Santos

Tevez (47'), Villa (69')
Sandez (56'), Pavon (60'), Medina (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vinicius (35'), Para (40'), Leonardo (58'), Alison (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Boca Juniors and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 49.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Santos had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawSantos
49.96%25.58%24.46%
Both teams to score 49.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58%53.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.05%74.94%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59%21.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59%54.4%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07%36.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28%73.71%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 49.95%
    Santos 24.46%
    Draw 25.57%
Boca JuniorsDrawSantos
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 9.39%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 4.83%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 49.95%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 7.87%
1-2 @ 6.05%
0-2 @ 3.92%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 24.46%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Santos

Boca Juniors
100%
Draw
0.0%
Santos
0.0%
9