Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

The Strongest
0 - 1
Boca Juniors


Wayar (33'), Vaca (60'), Castillo (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Villa (7')
Vasquez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between The Strongest and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.65%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a The Strongest win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
The StrongestDrawBoca Juniors
24.4%26.61%48.98%
Both teams to score 46.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74%57.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9%78.1%
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88%39.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.17%75.83%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55%23.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54%57.46%
Score Analysis
    The Strongest 24.41%
    Boca Juniors 48.98%
    Draw 26.6%
The StrongestDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 8.61%
2-1 @ 5.86%
2-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.33%
3-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 24.41%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 13.3%
0-2 @ 9.65%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-3 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 4.38%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-4 @ 1.69%
1-4 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 48.98%

How you voted: The Strongest vs Boca Juniors

The Strongest
29.4%
Draw
5.9%
Boca Juniors
64.7%
17