San Lorenzo
Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 7, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Santos

San Lorenzo
1 - 3
Santos

Romero (72')
Rodriguez (37')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Braga (7'), Marinho (45+1' pen.), Gabriel Borges Damaceno (90+5', 90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between San Lorenzo and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Santos had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawSantos
47.2%25.04%27.75%
Both teams to score 54.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.1%48.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01%70.99%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25%20.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62%53.37%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21%31.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79%68.21%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 47.2%
    Santos 27.75%
    Draw 25.03%
San LorenzoDrawSantos
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.35%
2-0 @ 8.16%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-0 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 47.2%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.59%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.56%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 27.75%

How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Santos

San Lorenzo
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Santos
22.2%
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