Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 7, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo1 - 3Santos
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Santos had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Santos |
| 47.2% | 25.04% | 27.75% |
| Both teams to score 54.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.1% | 48.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.01% | 70.99% |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% | 20.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.62% | 53.37% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% | 31.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% | 68.21% |
| Score Analysis |
San Lorenzo 47.2%
Santos 27.75%
Draw 25.03%
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.2% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.75% |
How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Santos
San Lorenzo
44.4%Draw
33.3%Santos
22.2%9


