Estudiantes
Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 29, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Único
San Lorenzo

Estudiantes
0 - 2
San Lorenzo


Ayala (15'), Diaz (43'), Diaz (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernandez (12'), Ramirez (69')
Donatti (33')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Estudiantes and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 41.39%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 28.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 1-0 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawSan Lorenzo
28.76%29.85%41.39%
Both teams to score 41.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.39%65.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.69%84.31%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96%40.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31%76.69%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68%31.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32%67.68%
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 28.75%
    San Lorenzo 41.38%
    Draw 29.85%
EstudiantesDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 6.1%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-0 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 28.75%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 12.54%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.85%
0-1 @ 14.55%
0-2 @ 8.45%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-3 @ 3.27%
1-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 41.38%