Barcelona SC (Ecuador)
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 22, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Isidro Romero Carbo
Flamengo

Barcelona
1 - 2
Flamengo

Martinez (48')
Orejuela (31'), Riveros (45'), Pinatares (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pedro (6'), De Arrascaeta (26')
Lincoln (76'), Maia (83'), Arao (89')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Barcelona SC and Flamengo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-0 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawFlamengo
27.06%25.13%47.81%
Both teams to score 53.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.28%49.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27%71.73%
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25%32.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69%69.31%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18%20.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51%53.49%
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 27.06%
    Flamengo 47.81%
    Draw 25.13%
Barcelona SCDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.61%
2-1 @ 6.67%
2-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.06%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 10.7%
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-2 @ 8.4%
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 2.74%
1-4 @ 1.92%
0-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 47.81%

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