Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Ceara win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
