Barcelona
3 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Stalin Preciado Quintero (24'), Cortez (69' pen.), Perlaza (80')
Pinatares (35'), Cortez (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martin Lucero (48')
Mancuello (32'), Brizuela (32'), de los Santos (51'), Janson (66'), Caseres (78'), Tarragona (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Barcelona SC and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (5.28%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.

Result
Barcelona SC	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
40.58%	22.92%	36.5%

Both teams to score 65.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.46%

35.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.41%

57.59%

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.89%

18.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.94%

49.06%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.04%

19.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.88%

52.12%

Score Analysis

Barcelona SC 40.58%

Velez Sarsfield 36.5%

Draw 22.92%

Barcelona SC	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
2-1 @ 8.5% 1-0 @ 6.18% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.85% Total : 40.58%	1-1 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 6.85% 0-0 @ 3.62% 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.92%	1-2 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 4.31% 2-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.22% Total : 36.5%