Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Flamengo |
| 19.49% | 23.76% | 56.75% |
| Both teams to score 48.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% | 51.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% | 73.28% |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% | 40.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% | 77.34% |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% | 17.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.22% | 48.78% |
| Score Analysis |
America Mineiro 19.49%
Flamengo 56.74%
Draw 23.75%
| America Mineiro | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 6.57% 2-1 @ 5.06% 2-0 @ 2.95% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.1% Total : 19.49% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 12.56% 0-2 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-3 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 1.07% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.48% Total : 56.74% |


