Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 22
Sep 26, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Arena da Baixada
Gremio

Athletico PR
4 - 2
Gremio

Rocha (31', 45+1'), Kayzer (55', 61')
Ivaldo (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Thiago (59'), Vanderson (84')
Ruan (65'), Borja (66'), Costa (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3'), Sarara (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
47.25%28.8%23.95%
Both teams to score 40.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.35%64.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.35%83.65%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35%27.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8%63.2%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.22%43.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.06%79.95%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 47.24%
    Gremio 23.95%
    Draw 28.79%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
1-0 @ 15.56%
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 8.26%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 47.24%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 12.1%
2-2 @ 3.41%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 28.79%
0-1 @ 10%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.95%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Gremio

Athletico Paranaense
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Gremio
12.5%
8
rhs 2.0


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