Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Aug 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 2
Palmeiras

(2-2 on aggregate)

Hulk (45+1' pen.), Cerqueira (47' og.)
Jair (49'), Mariano (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cerqueira (59'), Danilo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Internacional	20	10	33
7	Atletico Mineiro	20	4	32
8	Bragantino	20	8	30

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Ceara 1-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	20	19	42
2	Corinthians	20	6	38
3	Fluminense	20	9	35

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
45.03% ( 0.11)	25.34% ( 0.02)	29.62% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 54.32% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.87% (

-0.16)

49.13% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.8% (

-0.14)

71.2% (

0.14)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19% (

-0.02)

21.81% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.98% (

-0.02)

55.02% (

0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47% (

-0.18)

30.53% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.25% (

-0.21)

66.75% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 45.02%

Palmeiras 29.62%

Draw 25.34%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.02%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.62%