Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Aug 11, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
0 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

(2-2 on aggregate)

Gomez (58'), Ferreira (79'), Dudu (88')

Zaracho (52'), Arana (73'), Silva (78'), Vargas (85'), Hulk (88')
Vargas (90+6')

Palmeiras win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Palmeiras 3-0 Goias
Sunday, August 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	21	22	45
2	Corinthians	21	6	39
3	Fluminense	21	10	38

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-3 Athletico PR
Sunday, August 7 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Internacional	21	7	33
7	Atletico Mineiro	21	3	32
8	Bragantino	21	7	30

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
46.28% ( -0.09)	24.83% ( 0.01)	28.9% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 55.57% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.71% (

-0.02)

47.29% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.49% (

-0.02)

69.51% (

0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

-0.05)

20.49% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03% (

-0.07)

52.97% (

0.07)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

0.04)

30.11% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

0.05)

66.25% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 46.28%

Atletico Mineiro 28.9%

Draw 24.82%

Palmeiras	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.28%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 28.9%