Brasileiro | Gameweek 18

Jul 22, 2022 at 12am UK

Estadio Independencia

America Mineiro
0 - 1
Palmeiras

Maidana (51'), Matheusinho (56'), Caceres (56'), Patric (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Scarpa (65')
Wesley (17'), Danilo (40'), Manuel Lopez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Cuiaba
Tuesday, July 19 at 12am in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	17	16	33
2	Corinthians	18	4	32
3	Fluminense	18	8	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
21.23% ( -0.21)	25.16% ( -0.17)	53.61% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 47.1% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.22% (

0.39)

54.78% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.91% (

0.32)

76.09% (

-0.32)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.19% (

40.81% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.61% (

77.39%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57% (

0.31)

20.43% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.13% (

0.49)

52.88% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 21.23%

Palmeiras 53.61%

Draw 25.15%

America Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 21.23%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 10.51% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.61%