Fluminense
Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Corinthians

Fluminense
2 - 2
Corinthians

Ganso (4' pen.), Arias (46')
Andre (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Augusto (23'), Guedes (90')
Fagner (2'), Santos (68'), Guedes (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Fluminense and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

Last Six:
Last Game: Fluminense 5-2 Coritiba
Saturday, August 20 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Corinthians

Last Six:
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Corinthians
Sunday, August 21 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
FluminenseDrawCorinthians
60.57% (-0.685 -0.69)22.59% (0.183 0.18)16.83% (0.5 0.5)
Both teams to score 47.35% (0.462 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.35% (0.075999999999993 0.08)50.65% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45% (0.068000000000001 0.07)72.55% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (-0.206 -0.21)16.31% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.12% (-0.374 -0.37)45.88% (0.371 0.37)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.58% (0.688 0.69)43.42% (-0.691 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35% (0.57 0.57)79.64% (-0.57199999999999 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 60.57%
    Corinthians 16.83%
    Draw 22.59%
FluminenseDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 12.84% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 11.64% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.04% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.19% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 60.57%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.085 0.08)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.47% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.24% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 16.83%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Corinthians

Fluminense
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Corinthians
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2022 8.30pm
Fluminense
4-0
Corinthians
Manoel (15'), Cano (42', 71'), Fred (90+1')

Biro (40'), Moraes (49'), Renan (88')
Oct 14, 2021 1am
Corinthians
1-0
Fluminense
Pereira (69')
Fagner (31')

Barcelos (28')
Jun 27, 2021 8pm
Fluminense
1-1
Corinthians
Cazares (70')
Claro (35'), Barcelos (65'), Andre (83')
Hernandez (50')
Jo (37' pen.)
Araos (45+2')
Jan 14, 2021 12.30am
Corinthians
5-0
Fluminense
Jo (26'), Cazares (56'), Fagner (62'), Vital (67'), Vieira (90+1')
Cantillo (46')

Hudson (45+1'), Fred (45+2')
Sep 13, 2020 8pm
Fluminense
2-1
Corinthians
Nene (8', 88' pen.)
Moreira (36'), Nene (66')
Barcelos (90+2')
Vital (90+5')
Gabriel (4'), Walter (21'), Mendez (46'), Camacho (66')
rhs 2.0


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