Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Aug 21, 2022 at 10pm UK
Castelao
Corinthians

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Corinthians

Moises (65')
Sasha (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramiro (22'), Giuliano (24'), Pereira (38')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

Last Six:
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, August 18 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Corinthians

Last Six:
Last Game: Corinthians 4-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, August 18 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawCorinthians
51.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)27.34% (-0.038 -0.04)20.77% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 40.95% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.46% (0.119 0.12)62.54% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.86% (0.086000000000002 0.09)82.13% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (0.064999999999998 0.06)24.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13% (0.094000000000001 0.09)58.87% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.19% (0.076000000000001 0.08)45.81% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (0.060000000000002 0.06)81.57% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 51.88%
    Corinthians 20.77%
    Draw 27.33%
FortalezaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 15.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 51.88%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 11.19% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.39% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.41%
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 20.77%

Head to Head
May 1, 2022 8pm
Corinthians
1-0
Fortaleza
Jussa (53' og.)
Willian (86')

Felipe (58'), de Vargas (79'), Ceballos (86')
Nov 6, 2021 8pm
Corinthians
1-0
Fortaleza
Cantillo (87')
Guedes (56'), Fagner (65'), Queiroz (90+2')

Felipe (44'), Lima (51'), Robson (59')
Jul 12, 2021 12.30am
Fortaleza
1-0
Corinthians
Robson (19')
Felipe (24'), Crispim (29'), de Souza (80'), Pikachu (90+4')

Gil (41'), Cantillo (43'), Marquinhos (90+6')
Dec 3, 2020 12.30am
Fortaleza
0-0
Corinthians

David (44')
Melo (90+6')

Cantillo (20'), Pereira (90+1')
Jo (80')
Aug 27, 2020 1.30am
Corinthians
1-1
Fortaleza
Vieira (76')
Romarinho (63')
de Souza (47'), Juninho (58')