Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Aug 18, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
4 - 1
Atletico GO

(Corinthians win 4-3 on aggregate)

Gil (42'), Alberto (50', 56', 72')
Gustavo (43'), Alberto (50'), Giovane (87'), Ramos (89'), Cantillo (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rato (87')
Rato (14')

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Corinthians and Atletico Goianiense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Atletico Goianiense
60.8% ( 0.69)	23.81% ( 0.23)	15.38% ( -0.91)

Both teams to score 41.17% (

-2.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.63% (

-2.16)

57.37% (

2.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.81% (

-1.74)

78.19% (

1.75)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.35% (

-0.55)

18.65% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.03% (

-0.94)

49.97% (

0.94)

Atletico Goianiense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.61% (

-2.54)

49.39% (

2.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.77% (

-1.86)

84.23% (

1.86)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 60.8%

Atletico Goianiense 15.38%

Draw 23.81%

Corinthians	Draw	Atletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 15.47% ( 0.98) 2-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.22) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 60.8%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.46% Total : 23.81%	0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.84% Total : 15.38%