Copa Sudamericana
-
Luiz Fernando
5'
-
Gabriel Baralhas
45'+1'
-
Luiz Fernando
53'
-
Jefferson
77'
-
Marlon Freitas
85'
-
Luiz Fernando
90'+1'
-
Leo Coelho
17'
-
Franco Fagundez
85'
Atletico Goianiense vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
Result
Atletico Goianiense
44.53%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
25.29%
▲
(+0.02)
Nacional
30.18%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
54.79%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.34%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
48.66%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
29.23%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
70.77%
▲
(+0.03)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5
78.16%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
21.84%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
44.93%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
55.07%
▲
(+0.06)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
70.1%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
29.9%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
34%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
66%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Atletico Goianiense
44.53%
Draw
25.29%
Nacional
30.18%
Atletico Goianiense
1-0
@
9.93%
2-1 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.53%
2-1 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.53%
Draw
1-1
@
11.99%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.29%
0-0 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.29%
Nacional
0-1
@
7.88%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 30.18%
1-2 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 30.18%
Head to Head
Copa Sudamericana
-
Nicolas Marichal
67'
-
Luiz Fernando
23'
-
Leo Pereira
30'
-
Diego Churin
42'
-
Gabriel Baralhas
45'+2'
-
Jorginho
76'
-
Hayner
88'