Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 21, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
5 - 0
Cerrito

Gigliotti (8', 30'), Fagundez (34'), Carballo (44'), Almeida (90+5')
Fagundez (24'), Trasante (63'), Trezza (80'), Ocampo (88')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Falconis (28'), Velazquez (65'), Vega (70'), Soto (90+3')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerrito.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, July 17 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerrito

Last Six:
Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Cerrito
Saturday, July 16 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 70.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.4%) and 3-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawCerrito
70.36% (0.13800000000001 0.14)19.84% (-0.114 -0.11)9.8% (-0.025099999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 36.86% (0.207 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (0.347 0.35)54.23% (-0.34800000000001 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (0.288 0.29)75.63% (-0.289 -0.29)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.67% (0.155 0.16)14.33% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.84% (0.298 0.3)42.16% (-0.298 -0.3)
Cerrito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.03% (0.164 0.16)56.97% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.97% (0.093 0.09)89.02% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 70.35%
    Cerrito 9.8%
    Draw 19.84%
NacionalDrawCerrito
1-0 @ 15.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 15.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 9.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.85% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 70.35%
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 2.44% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.84%
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 2.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 9.8%

Head to Head
May 29, 2022 12am
Nacional
3-0
Cerrito
Gigliotti (45+1'), Ramirez (87', 90')
Marichal (11')

Villoldo (70')
Nov 19, 2021 12.45am
Nacional
1-0
Cerrito
Fernandez (90+3')
Trasante (27'), Candido (47'), Fernandez (90+5')

Aviles (9'), Rodriguez (35')
Perujo (34'), Ferreira (90+5')
Aug 8, 2021 10pm
Cerrito
2-0
Nacional
Silvera (13' pen., 56')
Johan Perea Valencia (40')

Laborda (11'), D'Alessandro (12'), Fernandez (85'), Candido (90')