Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Jun 25, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo

Danubio
0 - 1
Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Danubio	Draw	Nacional
24.24% ( 0.11)	28.19% ( 0.16)	47.56% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 42.37% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.37% (

-0.42)

62.63% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.8% (

-0.31)

82.2% (

0.31)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.68% (

-0.14)

42.32% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.29% (

-0.12)

78.71% (

0.12)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.46% (

-0.33)

26.54% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.26% (

-0.43)

61.74% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Danubio 24.24%

Nacional 47.55%

Draw 28.19%

Danubio	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.11% Total : 24.24%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.19%	0-1 @ 14.89% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 47.55%

Head to Head

Jun 5, 2022 7pm

Danubio

2-1

Nacional

German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')

Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')

Mar 13, 2021 7.30pm

Danubio

2-1

Nacional

Siri (41'), Mendez (90+1')
Mendez (21'), Monzon (29'), Ichazo (90+7')

Vecino (23')
Vecino (37'), Corujo (44'), Orihuela (50')

Nov 21, 2020 10.30pm

Nacional

0-2

Danubio

Trasante (34'), Bergessio (63'), Martinez (90+5')
Laborda (62')