Jun 25, 2022 at 7pm UK at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
0 - 1
Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Nacional.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.