Defensor
0 - 1
Nacional

Rocha (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramirez (76')
Carballo (33'), Lozano (90+4')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Nacional
25.61% ( -0.46)	25.82% ( -0.27)	48.56% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 49.92% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.51% (

0.71)

53.49% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.99% (

0.6)

75.01% (

-0.6)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.04% (

35.96% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.26% (

72.74%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

0.63)

22.04% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

0.94)

55.37% (

-0.94)

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 25.61%

Nacional 48.56%

Draw 25.82%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.61%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.21% Total : 48.56%