Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jun 18, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 0
River Plate

Gigliotti (26'), Zabala (57'), Lozano (80')
Candido (66'), Rodriguez (71'), Coelho (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Napoli (8'), Brunelli (30'), Pereira (63'), Ichazo (64')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Defensor 0-1 Nacional
Monday, June 13 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Cerrito
Friday, June 10 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
60.36% (0.167 0.17)23.37% (-0.146 -0.15)16.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.06% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.53% (0.493 0.49)54.47% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.17% (0.408 0.41)75.83% (-0.41000000000001 -0.41)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (0.23999999999999 0.24)17.74% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (0.414 0.41)48.41% (-0.417 -0.42)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.56% (0.261 0.26)46.44% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.94% (0.2 0.2)82.06% (-0.203 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 60.35%
    River Plate 16.27%
    Draw 23.36%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 12.31% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.1% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 60.35%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 16.27%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 10pm
Nacional
1-1
River Plate
Ocampo (90')
Candido (75'), Rochet (81'), Fagundez (82'), Rodriguez (86'), Otormin (90+4')
Candido (81')

Alfonso (9'), Montiel (42'), Salaberry (45+2'), Pereira (49'), Diaz (51')
Salaberry (67')
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
Nacional
4-2
River Plate
Almeida (26'), Brunelli (53' og., 61' og.), Fernandez (62')
Fernandez (23')
Borbas (1'), Montiel (90')
Bonifazi (45'), Boggio (59')
Aug 21, 2021 7pm
River Plate
2-0
Nacional
Arezo (45+1'), Boggio (51')
Diaz (17'), Montiel (34'), Napoli (73')

Mendez (24'), Rodriguez (34'), Trasante (40'), Bergessio (41'), Martinez (46')
Bergessio (90+2')
Feb 8, 2021 12.45am
Nacional
3-0
River Plate
Rodriguez (17' og.), Bergessio (34'), Neves (56')
Bergessio (54'), Orihuela (76')

Montiel (38'), Bonifazi (78'), Viera (90')
Nov 12, 2020 5.45pm
River Plate
0-2
Nacional

Fossati (17'), Ospitaleche (18'), Leites (38')
Vicente (40')
Bergessio (52'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Martinez (57')