Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.