Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 10, 2022 at 12am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Coelho (38'), Trezza (40'), Zabala (83')
Rodriguez (16'), Rochet (32'), Carballo (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Quintana (20' pen.)
Dibble (52'), Fernandez (74'), Quintana (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Union 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, July 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Plaza Colonia

Last Six:
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 3-0 Cerrito
Sunday, June 26 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
59.17% (-0.167 -0.17)24.75% (0.11 0.11)16.08% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 40.18% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.49% (-0.278 -0.28)59.5% (0.28 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.14% (-0.213 -0.21)79.86% (0.215 0.22)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (-0.173 -0.17)20.09% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (-0.28 -0.28)52.33% (0.282 0.28)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.28% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)49.71% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.54% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)84.46% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 59.15%
    Plaza Colonia 16.08%
    Draw 24.75%
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 16.02% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 12.86%
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 59.15%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.99% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.92%
0-2 @ 2.44% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.08%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 10.30pm
Nacional
1-0
Plaza Colonia
Zabala (84')
Zunino (43'), Candido (52'), Zabala (85'), Fagundez (90+6')

Heredia (5'), Kidd (45'), Fernandez (80'), Ayala (87')
Oct 3, 2021 7.30pm
Nacional
2-1
Plaza Colonia
Candido (10'), Ramirez (90+1')
Rodriguez (32'), Polenta (50'), D'Alessandro (76'), Bergessio (82')
Lopez (51')
Dibble (45+1'), Olivera (61'), Fernandez (71'), Camargo (73'), Mele (76'), Umeres (81'), Suhr (85'), Leonai (88'), Zeballos (90+5')
Jun 5, 2021 7pm
Plaza Colonia
1-2
Nacional
Dibble (34')
Cruz Mascia (44'), Risso (58'), Leonai (69'), Quintana (70'), Dibble (71')
Leonai (79')
Trezza (46'), Bergessio (73' pen.)
Corujo (45+1'), Garcia (83'), Bergessio (90+3')
Feb 14, 2021 12am
Nacional
1-1
Plaza Colonia
Bergessio (67')
Mendez (14'), Ocampo (32'), Lores (80'), Martinez (86'), Cartagena (90')
Cruz Mascia (68')
Cruz Mascia (43'), Suhr (82'), Fernandez (85')
Aug 23, 2020 7pm
Plaza Colonia
0-0
Nacional

Calleros (38'), Dibble (65')

Rodriguez (20'), Yacob (23'), Laborda (66')
Bergessio (26'), Suarez (90+5')