Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 1Plaza Colonia
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 46.79% | 27.88% | 25.32% |
| Both teams to score 44.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
