Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerrito 0-2 Cerro Largo
Monday, July 11 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, July 11 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Montevideo City Torque | 20 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 19 | -14 | 19 |
| 14 | Plaza Colonia | 20 | -3 | 18 |
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, July 10 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, July 10 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Nacional | 19 | 25 | 40 |
| 3 | Boston River | 20 | 7 | 37 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Nacional |
26.08% ( -0.02) | 27.21% ( 0.03) | 46.71% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.39% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
