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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jun 3, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Cerro Largo logo

Nacional
1 - 2
Cerro Largo

May (76')
Gabrielli (13')
Gabrielli (19')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Otormin (41'), Beltran (65')
Estol (28'), Rodriguez (58'), Cayetano (84')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro Largo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawCerro Largo
44.53%27.55%27.92%
Both teams to score 46.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.49%58.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.91%79.08%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84%26.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76%61.23%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23%36.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.44%73.55%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 44.52%
    Cerro Largo 27.92%
    Draw 27.55%
NacionalDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 12.89%
2-1 @ 8.65%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 44.52%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 9.62%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 6.46%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 27.92%

Head to Head
Jan 20, 2021 10.30pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
0-0
Nacional
Montero (90')
Oliveros (81')
Feb 22, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
2-2
Cerro Largo
Yacob (90'), Bergessio (90')
Yacob (58'), Suarez (69'), Mendez (90'), Mejia (90')
Fernandez (44'), Dorrego (75')
Jorge (17'), Aguerre (45')
Aguerre (90')
Nov 3, 2019 10pm
Nacional
0-1
Cerro Largo

Neves (44'), Bergessio (61'), Carvalho (81'), Mendez (82')
Telechea (87')
Etcheverry (31'), Aguerre (31'), Rodriguez (59')
Aguerre (97')
Apr 15, 2019 1am
Gameweek 9
Cerro Largo
2-2
Nacional
Luna Diale (11', 86')
Aguerre (55'), Gravi (61')
Fernandez (71'), Kevin (81')
Corujo (61'), Bergessio (73'), Carvalho (92')
Carvalho (95')
rhs 2.0
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