Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7

Jul 24, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 0
Boston River

Gigliotti (57'), Fagundez (66')
Fagundez (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (45+1'), Mancebo (86'), Rodriguez (90+1')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Boston River
60.47% ( 0.23)	24.6% ( -0.1)	14.92% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 38.37% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.37% (

0.11)

60.63% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.28% (

0.08)

80.71% (

-0.08)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.97% (

0.13)

20.03% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.76% (

0.21)

52.23% (

-0.22)

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.98% (

-0.14)

52.02% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.98% (

-0.09)

86.02% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Nacional 60.47%

Boston River 14.92%

Draw 24.59%

Nacional	Draw	Boston River
1-0 @ 16.75% 2-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 60.47%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 14.92%