MX23RW : Tuesday, April 23 20:00:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 24, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Boston River logo

Nacional
2 - 0
Boston River

Gigliotti (57'), Fagundez (66')
Fagundez (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (45+1'), Mancebo (86'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 5-0 Cerrito
Thursday, July 21 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Cerro Largo
Wednesday, July 20 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBoston River
60.47% (0.233 0.23) 24.6% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 14.92% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 38.37% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.37% (0.108 0.11)60.63% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.28% (0.081 0.08)80.71% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (0.13200000000001 0.13)20.03% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.76% (0.214 0.21)52.23% (-0.217 -0.22)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.98% (-0.136 -0.14)52.02% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.98% (-0.089 -0.09)86.02% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 60.47%
    Boston River 14.92%
    Draw 24.59%
NacionalDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 16.75%
2-0 @ 13.47% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.22% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 60.47%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.88% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 14.92%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 10.30pm
Boston River
0-6
Nacional

Adrian Valdez (7'), Alberti (16'), Rodriguez (35'), Villa (82')
Ithurralde (18')
Carballo (3', 19', 79'), Trezza (45+1'), Zabala (63'), Fagundez (84')
Castro (14'), Rodriguez (31'), Marichal (38'), Carballo (56'), Fagundez (88')
Oct 16, 2021 10pm
Nacional
3-2
Boston River
Trezza (20'), Ramirez (66'), Fernandez (90+2')
Marichal (13'), Polenta (22'), Mendez (58'), Rodriguez (64'), Bergessio (90+8')
Rodriguez (30'), Alvarez (74')
Adrian Valdez (39'), Falcon (90+8')
Adrian Valdez (90+4')
Jun 19, 2021 7pm
Boston River
1-1
Nacional
Rodriguez (68')
Rodriguez (79'), Moreira (90+5')
Bergessio (50')
Trezza (33'), Mendez (62'), Almeida (70'), Fernandez (72')
Mar 25, 2021 12.15am
Nacional
1-2
Boston River
Carballo (71')
Orihuela (59'), Lores (66'), Bergessio (85'), Laborda (89')
Freitas (24'), Larrosa (47')
Romero (69'), Freitas (72'), Falcon (81'), Arias (90+3')
Silva Torrejon (33')
Nov 29, 2020 11pm
Boston River
0-1
Nacional

Adrian Valdez (59'), Nadruz (79')
Villar (80')
Martinez (7'), Mendez (41'), Carballo (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol98101941525
2ProgresoProgreso96302113821
3NacionalNacional95401881019
4Defensor SportingDefensor8431169715
5Boston RiverBoston River94321210215
6River PlateRiver Plate93331311212
7Racing de MontevideoRacing93331312112
8Cerro Largo933388012
9LiverpoolLiverpool92521413111
10DanubioDanubio9234610-49
11CerroCerro91531016-68
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers9225814-68
13Miramar Misiones91441115-47
14Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado9216814-67
15FenixFenix9045511-64
16Rampla JuniorsRampla8116620-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!