Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.