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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeones Olímpicos
Defensor

Boston River
2 - 3
Defensor

Fernandez (56'), Rodriguez (71')
Corbo (9'), Fernandez (62'), Perez (62'), Viega (79'), Alberti (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Balboa (20'), Duarte (41'), Sant'Anna (77')
de los Santos (67'), Camargo (78'), Duarte (81'), Sant'Anna (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

Last Six:
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Boston River
Sunday, June 26 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Defensor Sporting

Last Six:
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 25 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.44%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Boston RiverDrawDefensor Sporting
19.62% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)26.21% (0.020999999999997 0.02)54.16% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 42.21% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)60.07% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (-0.041 -0.04)80.29% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.37% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)45.63% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)81.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)22.36% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)55.85% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 19.62%
    Defensor Sporting 54.15%
    Draw 26.21%
Boston RiverDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 19.62%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 15.28% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 11.44%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 54.15%

Head to Head
Mar 21, 2022 10pm
Boston River
1-1
Defensor
Lopez (5')
Mancebo (32'), Alberti (42')
Navarro (76')
Boggio (9'), Navarro (30'), (84')
Mar 12, 2021 9.45pm
Defensor
1-2
Boston River
Viudez (52')
Rocha (27'), Cardacio (34'), Zeballos (49'), Mallo (55'), Lamas (70'), Ivanov (80')
Rocha (90+2')
Bentancourt (34' pen.), Lozano (89')
Arias (37'), Silva Torrejon (38'), Rodriguez (83'), Fernandez (90+6')
Jan 13, 2021 9pm
Defensor
1-1
Boston River
Laquintana (42')
Zuculini (22'), Laquintana (42'), Cardacio (49')
Rodriguez (90+4')
Bentancourt (43'), Alberti (58'), Rodriguez (90+4')
Sep 13, 2020 4.45pm
Boston River
1-1
Defensor
Rodriguez (63')
Rodriguez (45'), (77')
Rodriguez (76')
Colombini (90+3')
Coelho (45+2'), Lamas (47')
Oct 25, 2019 8pm
Boston River
1-4
Defensor
Rivas (26')
Fernandez (67')
Rabunal (11'), Pavone (47'), Correa (57'), Rodriguez (61')