Nacional
3 - 2
Boston River

Trezza (20'), Ramirez (66'), Fernandez (90+2')
Marichal (13'), Polenta (22'), Mendez (58'), Rodriguez (64'), Bergessio (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rodriguez (30'), Alvarez (74')
Adrian Valdez (39'), Falcon (90+8')
Adrian Valdez (90+4')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Boston River.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 21.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Boston River
53.73%	24.73%	21.54%

Both teams to score 48.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.15%

52.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.53%

74.47%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.37%

19.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.42%

51.58%

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.61%

39.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.91%

76.09%

Score Analysis

Nacional 53.71%

Boston River 21.54%

Draw 24.72%

Nacional	Draw	Boston River
1-0 @ 12.58% 2-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.71%	1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 7.2% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.4% Total : 21.54%