Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Aug 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Morumbi
Fortaleza

Sao Paulo
0 - 1
Fortaleza


Reinaldo (58'), Patrick (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Capixaba (32')
Marcelo (28'), Miguel (51')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Flamengo
Thursday, August 25 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Fortaleza

Last Six:
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Corinthians
Sunday, August 21 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawFortaleza
50.35% (-0.629 -0.63)26.65% (0.745 0.75)23.01% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 45.14% (-2.146 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.55% (-2.739 -2.74)58.45% (2.735 2.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.96% (-2.188 -2.19)79.04% (2.184 2.18)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (-1.435 -1.44)23.35% (1.431 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (-2.13 -2.13)57.31% (2.125 2.13)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (-1.668 -1.67)41.11% (1.664 1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35% (-1.518 -1.52)77.65% (1.513 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 50.34%
    Fortaleza 23.01%
    Draw 26.65%
Sao PauloDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 13.96% (0.84 0.84)
2-0 @ 10.15% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 50.34%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 9.6% (0.953 0.95)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.298 -0.3)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.49 0.49)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 23.01%

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 11pm
Fortaleza
1-1
Sao Paulo
Pikachu (69')
Marcelo (15'), Pikachu (88')
Luciano (57')
Diego (16'), Gomes (45+2'), Luciano (84')
Nov 11, 2021 12.30am
Fortaleza
1-1
Sao Paulo
Robson (59')
Robson (39'), Paulista (90+1'), Jussa (90+7')
Benitez (90+3')
Sara (33'), Nestor (58'), Benitez (79'), Welington (86'), Eder (86'), Luciano (86')
Jul 17, 2021 9pm
Sao Paulo
0-1
Fortaleza

Rojas (36'), Pele (43'), Galeano (67')
Robson (74')
Titi (45'), David (72')
Nov 14, 2020 10pm
Fortaleza
2-3
Sao Paulo
David (15'), Paulista (74')
Felipe (53'), de Souza (88')
Gomes (40'), Luciano (61', 82')
Hernanes (56'), Nestor (72'), Pele (90+6'), Alves (90+8')
Oct 25, 2020 11.30pm
Sao Paulo
2-2
Fortaleza
 Sao Paulo win 10-9 on penalties
Brenner (11', 72')
David (81'), De Carvalho (90+2')