America Mineiro
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 19, 2022 at 1am UK
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
Sao Paulo

America Mineiro
2 - 2
Sao Paulo

Paulista (44' pen.), Everaldo (65')
Everaldo (2'), Pablo Ramirez (14'), Egea (45+6'), Matheusinho (81'), Eder (81'), Avelar (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Luciano (23', 29')
Luciano (24'), Miranda (45+4'), Calleri (83')
Miranda (58')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between America Mineiro and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

America Mineiro

Last Six:
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-0 Santos
Sunday, August 14 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

Last Six:
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-0 Bragantino
Sunday, August 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
America MineiroDrawSao Paulo
37.38% (0.648 0.65)26.98% (0.094000000000001 0.09)35.64% (-0.739 -0.74)
Both teams to score 50.97% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71% (-0.399 -0.4)54.29% (0.401 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32% (-0.333 -0.33)75.68% (0.33500000000001 0.34)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.92% (0.19 0.19)28.08% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25% (0.241 0.24)63.74% (-0.239 -0.24)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.642 -0.64)29.13% (0.645 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94% (-0.8 -0.8)65.06% (0.803 0.8)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 37.38%
    Sao Paulo 35.63%
    Draw 26.97%
America MineiroDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 8.14% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.79% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 37.38%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 10.08% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.63%

Head to Head
Jul 29, 2022 12am
Sao Paulo
1-0
America Mineiro
Luciano (35')
Gomes (43'), Neves (55'), Couto (65'), Galoppo (81'), Costa (90+3')

Almeida (37'), Pedrinho (90+7')
Jun 12, 2022 8pm
Sao Paulo
1-0
America Mineiro
Patrick (34')
Nestor (53'), Miranda (76')

Almeida (76'), (90+4')
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
America Mineiro
2-0
Sao Paulo
Ademir (58', 62')
Ricardo (28'), Silva (45+5')

Diego (45+4'), Falcao (79')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2021 12.30am
Sao Paulo
0-0
America Mineiro

Arboleda (44'), Miranda (50'), Reinaldo (75')

Zarate (65')
Sep 22, 2018 8pm
Sao Paulo
1-1
America Mineiro
Souza (45')
Arboleda (84')
Matheusinho (81')
Carlinhos (55')