Brasileiro | Gameweek 22

Aug 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
3 - 0
Bragantino

Nestor (25'), Calleri (59'), Vinicius (61')
Miranda (31')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Ceara 2-1 Sao Paulo (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 10 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	America Mineiro	21	-6	27
11	Sao Paulo	21	1	26
12	Goias	22	-6	26

Bragantino

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Bragantino
Saturday, August 6 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Atletico Mineiro	21	3	32
8	Bragantino	21	7	30
9	Santos	21	7	30

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Bragantino
50.84% ( -0.09)	25.92% ( 0.03)	23.24% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 47.36% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.32% (

-0.05)

55.69% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.17% (

-0.04)

76.83% (

0.04)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04% (

-0.06)

21.96% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.75% (

-0.09)

55.25% (

0.09)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.68% (

0.03)

39.32% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.98% (

0.03)

76.03% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 50.84%

Bragantino 23.24%

Draw 25.91%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.84%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.24%