Brasileiro | Gameweek 22

Aug 14, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estadio Independencia

America Mineiro
1 - 0
Santos

Pedrinho (14')
Pedrinho (0')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Santos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 43.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Santos had a probability of 27.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for America Mineiro in this match.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Santos
43.54% ( -1.92)	28.54% ( 0.05)	27.93% ( 1.88)

Both teams to score 44.06% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.17% (

0.73)

61.83% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.39% (

0.54)

81.61% (

-0.53)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

-0.67)

28.24% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05% (

-0.85)

63.95% (

0.86)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.4% (

2.03)

38.6% (

-2.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.66% (

1.88)

75.34% (

-1.88)

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 43.53%

Santos 27.92%

Draw 28.54%

America Mineiro	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 13.78% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.65% Total : 43.53%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.54%	0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.92%