Brasileiro | Gameweek 20

Jul 31, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estadio Independencia

America Mineiro
3 - 1
Avai

Almeida (34'), Everaldo (70', 90')
Everaldo (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bissoli (4')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Avai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Avai had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Avai
56.47% ( 0.89)	24.6% ( -0.33)	18.93% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 45.38% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69% (

0.54)

55.31% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.48% (

0.44)

76.52% (

-0.44)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.5% (

0.56)

19.5% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.62% (

0.91)

51.38% (

-0.91)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.37% (

-0.32)

43.63% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.18% (

-0.27)

79.82% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 56.46%

Avai 18.93%

Draw 24.59%

America Mineiro	Draw	Avai
1-0 @ 13.9% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.67% Total : 56.46%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 18.93%