Santos
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Aug 21, 2022 at 11pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Sao Paulo

Santos
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

Braga (33')
Eduardo (43'), Leonardo (45+5'), Jonatan (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nikao (44')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

Last Six:
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-0 Santos
Sunday, August 14 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

Last Six:
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-2 Sao Paulo
Friday, August 19 at 1am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 44.23%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 27.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.

Result
SantosDrawSao Paulo
44.23% (-0.782 -0.78)27.99% (0.67 0.67)27.78% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 45.42% (-1.753 -1.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.92% (-2.268 -2.27)60.07% (2.266 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.7% (-1.756 -1.76)80.29% (1.756 1.76)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-1.445 -1.45)27.04% (1.443 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.59% (-1.929 -1.93)62.4% (1.926 1.93)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (-1.149 -1.15)37.74% (1.148 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (-1.137 -1.14)74.52% (1.135 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Santos 44.22%
    Sao Paulo 27.78%
    Draw 27.98%
SantosDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.34% (0.58 0.58)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.264 -0.26)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 44.22%
1-1 @ 13% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 10.2% (0.834 0.83)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.251 -0.25)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.528 0.53)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 27.78%

Head to Head
May 3, 2022 12am
Sao Paulo
2-1
Santos
Calleri (10'), Luciano (82' pen.)
Rafinha (68'), Hembert (90'), Alisson (90+7')
Leonardo (45+1')
Leonardo (66'), Madson (84'), Bustos (85'), Fernandez (90+2'), Pires (90+6')
Oct 7, 2021 10.30pm
Sao Paulo
1-1
Santos
Calleri (35' pen.)
Welington (74')
Sanchez (5')
Vinicius (33'), Marinho (78'), Boza (80'), Guilherme (90+3')
Jun 20, 2021 10.15pm
Santos
2-0
Sao Paulo
Marinho (27'), Pirani (44')
Jorge (45+2'), Zanocelo (90+6')

Reinaldo (50'), Sara (61'), Vinicius (85'), Benitez (90+10')
Jan 10, 2021 7pm
Sao Paulo
0-1
Santos

Pablo (37'), Hernanes (83')
Jobson (46')
Alex (26'), Vinicius (43'), Paulo (77'), Alison (77')
Sep 12, 2020 11pm
Santos
2-2
Sao Paulo
Madson (30'), Marinho (75')
Soteldo (25'), Sanchez (49'), Alison (54'), Peres (65')
Sara (8', 39')
Vinicius (72'), Hernanes (79')