Sao Paulo
Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Flamengo

Sao Paulo
1 - 3
Flamengo

Nestor (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gomes (12', 13'), Barbosa (67', 68'), Everton (90+4')
Everton (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Sao Paulo and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Flamengo

Last Six:
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, August 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawFlamengo
38.09% (1.759 1.76)27.24% (-0.158 -0.16)34.67% (-1.599 -1.6)
Both teams to score 50.06% (0.398 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.6% (0.542 0.54)55.4% (-0.541 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4% (0.444 0.44)76.6% (-0.441 -0.44)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (1.314 1.31)28.2% (-1.311 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (1.634 1.63)63.89% (-1.631 -1.63)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (-0.732 -0.73)30.28% (0.735 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (-0.884 -0.88)66.46% (0.887 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 38.09%
    Flamengo 34.67%
    Draw 27.23%
Sao PauloDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.257 0.26)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.348 0.35)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.228 0.23)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.245 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.109 0.11)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.54% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-2 @ 6.09% (-0.387 -0.39)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 34.67%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Sao Paulo
0-2
Flamengo

Maia (36'), Galoppo (59')
Lazaro (7'), Barbosa (90+5')
Souza (24'), Diego (50')
Apr 17, 2022 8pm
Flamengo
3-1
Sao Paulo
Barbosa (25'), Isla (69'), De Arrascaeta (72')
Barbosa (17'), Gomes (45')
Calleri (41')
Rafinha (17'), Maia (24'), Diego (36'), Anderson (76'), Reinaldo (80'), Pele (90+1')
Nov 14, 2021 7pm
Sao Paulo
0-4
Flamengo

Shaylon (87')
Calleri (10')
Barbosa (1'), Henrique (4'), Michael (42', 55')
Matheuzinho (22')
Jul 25, 2021 8pm
Flamengo
5-1
Sao Paulo
Henrique (70', 72', 77'), Henrique (86'), Welington (90+2' og.)
Caio (53'), Arao (54'), Luis (62')
Arboleda (48')
Welington (32'), Reinaldo (40'), Marquinhos (62'), Rigoni (83'), Vinicius (85'), Benitez (90+10'), Benitez (90+10')
Feb 26, 2021 12.30am
Sao Paulo
2-1
Flamengo
Luciano (45+5'), Pablo (59')
Tche (32'), Arboleda (36'), Alves (39'), Vinicius (43'), Welington (54'), Luciano (61')
Henrique (51')
Barbosa (45+7'), Ribeiro (77'), Henrique (89')
rhs 2.0


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