Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Sao Paulo

Flamengo
5 - 1
Sao Paulo

Henrique (70', 72', 77'), Henrique (86'), Welington (90+2' og.)
Caio (53'), Arao (54'), Luis (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arboleda (48')
Welington (32'), Reinaldo (40'), Marquinhos (62'), Rigoni (83'), Vinicius (85'), Benitez (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawSao Paulo
51.52%24.65%23.82%
Both teams to score 51.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69%50.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74%72.26%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48%19.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59%51.4%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21%35.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43%72.56%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 51.52%
    Sao Paulo 23.82%
    Draw 24.65%
FlamengoDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 9.32%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 51.52%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.18%
1-2 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 23.82%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Sao Paulo

Flamengo
74.1%
Draw
14.8%
Sao Paulo
11.1%
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