Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
1 - 1
Racing

Bueno (35')
Diego (40'), Arboleda (47'), Perri (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Copetti (45+1')
Mena (14'), Sigali (77'), Correa (89'), Rojas (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Sao Paulo and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.56%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Racing Club had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.61%), while for a Racing Club win it was 0-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawRacing Club
48.56%30.1%21.33%
Both teams to score 35.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.25%69.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.93%87.07%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49%65.51%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.46%49.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.66%84.34%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 48.56%
    Racing Club 21.33%
    Draw 30.1%
Sao PauloDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 17.84%
2-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 7.65%
3-0 @ 4.43%
3-1 @ 3.11%
4-0 @ 1.35%
3-2 @ 1.09%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 48.56%
0-0 @ 14.61%
1-1 @ 12.53%
2-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 30.1%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 4.4%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Racing

Sao Paulo
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Racing Club
28.6%
42