Fortaleza
2 - 3
Sao Paulo

David (15'), Paulista (74')
Felipe (53'), de Souza (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gomes (40'), Luciano (61', 82')
Hernanes (56'), Nestor (72'), Pele (90+6'), Alves (90+8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Sao Paulo
32.55%	26.64%	40.81%

Both teams to score 51.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.61%

53.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.07%

74.93%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33%

30.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09%

66.92%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25%

25.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.31%

60.69%

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 32.55%

Sao Paulo 40.81%

Draw 26.64%

Fortaleza	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 2% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.55%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.81%