Sao Paulo
2 - 2
Fortaleza

Brenner (11', 72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

David (81'), De Carvalho (90+2')

Sao Paulo win 10-9 on penalties

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 clash between Sao Paulo and Fortaleza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.08%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Fortaleza
56.21%	27.48%	16.3%

Both teams to score 34.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.82%

67.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.61%

85.39%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41%

24.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.92%

59.08%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.92%

54.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.68%

87.32%

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 56.21%

Fortaleza 16.3%

Draw 27.47%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 18.65% 2-0 @ 13.08% 2-1 @ 8.05% 3-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 3.76% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.32% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.92% Total : 56.21%	0-0 @ 13.29% 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 2.47% Other @ 0.25% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 3.53% 0-2 @ 2.51% Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.3%

Sao Paulo2 - 2Fortaleza

Data Analysis

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Sao Paulo
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